About Jolting Technologies
The Hypothesis
The Jolting Technologies Hypothesis posits that technological progress occurs in phases of exponential growth punctuated by sudden “jolts” - periods of super-exponential acceleration that fundamentally alter the technological landscape.
Key Concepts
- Exponential Growth: Steady, predictable advancement in capabilities
- Jolts: Discontinuous jumps where progress accelerates dramatically
- Governance Lag: The challenge of societal institutions adapting to rapid change
Implications
These jolts present unique challenges for:
- Risk assessment and mitigation
- Policy development
- International coordination
- Ethical considerations
Our Approach
We combine empirical analysis, simulation modeling, and governance theory to understand and prepare for technological jolts.